Siward's Overview of Malaria


Welcome


Hello readers,
  sometime ago (end of 2006) i wanted to know about malaria,
  so i took some time (4 weeks at 70 hours/week) to find information about it,
  and another 3 weeks to organize that into a document.
My original goal was to get a solid basis to find numerical values of anti-malaria measures,
  and i have succeeded in compiling a basis of knowledge,
  but not in finding the numerical data.
The result would take you a day to read, and represents more than a month of literature-study,
  so it might be profitable for you to read,
  and that is why i have put it on the web.

Warning to the reader

I am not a medical doctor, and my knowledge about malaria is far from complete.
Therefore, for those of you who read this because
  they will be going to a country where malaria is endemic,
  please be aware that you NEED to get medical advice from a real doctor ;
Do not let your life depend on what you read here !

Version

This is version 1 , of 2008 march 25

Feedback, author and copyright

If you happen to know about anything that is marked 'unknown' here,
  or that is omitted, or described incorrectly,
  please let me know by sending an email to siward@wanadoo.nl .

This text was written in october/november 2006 and march 2008 by Siward de Groot.
This is a copyrighted text that you can use, modify, and distribute as you see fit,
  provided that
  * you do not change the authorname, and
  * if you distribute a modified version, you clearly mark it as modified.
 
 

Table of contents

1 - Overview of Malaria
1.1 - What it is
1.2 - What it looks like
1.3 - Cause
1.4 - Occurrence
1.5 - Who is at risk ?
1.6 - Protective measure
2 - Mosquitos
2.1 - Mosquito species
2.2 - Anopheles
2.3 - Mosquito lifecycle
2.4 - Mosquito behaviour
2.5 - Mosquito population
3 - Mosquito-bite prevention
3.1 - Removing potential breeding grounds from vicinity
3.2 - Removing potential feeding grounds
3.3 - Curing domestic animals (in asia)
3.4 - Staying indoors at night, and screening doors and windows
3.5 - Spraying insecticides in rooms
3.6 - Using insectice-treated bednets
3.7 - Sleeping in high places
3.8 - Effect of airconditioning
3.9 - Effect of moving air
3.10 - Cover skin with clothing in evening
3.11 - Wash yourself with soap
3.12 - Insect repellents for use on skin
4 - Red blood cells
4.1 - Function and occurrence
4.2 - Structure
4.3 - Creation
4.4 - Destruction
4.5 - Cell wall
4.6 - Immune system
4.7 - Duffy factor
4.8 - Blood proteins
5 - Plasmodium
5.1 - Classification
5.2 - Infective species
5.3 - Live stages of plasmodium
5.4 - Strains
5.5 - Origin of mating partner
5.6 - Times and numbers (of mosquito life stages)
5.7 - Effect of plasmodium on mosquito
5.8 - Response of human immune system to plasmodia
5.9 - Plasmodium's countermeasures against human immune system
5.10 - Resulting level of infected RBCs in blood
5.11 - Fraction of infected RBCs that infect a mosquito.
6 - Immunity
6.1 - Recapitulation
6.2 - Hereditary malaria-specific immunity
6.3 - Mechanisms of acquired immunity against malaria
6.4 - Multiplicity of infection
6.5 - Effects of acquired immunity in low-transmission areas
6.6 - Effects of acquired immunity in high-transmission areas
7 - Malaria disease
7.1 - Infection
7.2 - Uncomplicated malaria
7.3 - Chronic malaria
7.4 - Complicated malaria
7.5 - Severe malaria
7.6 - Classification of victims
7.7 - Diagnosis
7.8 - Treatment
7.9 - Relapses
8 - Anti-malaria medicines
8.1 - Classification of medicines
8.2 - Vaccines
8.3 - Natural Drugs and their derivatives
8.4 - Quinine
8.5 - Derivatives of quinine
8.6 - Primaquine
8.7 - Artemisinin
8.8 - Derivatives of artemisinin
8.9 - Anti-protozoans
8.10 - Anti-biotics
8.11 - Medicines that are combinations of drugs
8.12 - Curative therapies
8.13 - Special therapies
8.14 - Resistance against medicines
8.15 - Herbal medicines
8.16 - Future medicines
8.17 - Medicine policies
9 - People
9.1 - Illustration
10 - Epidemic
10.1 - Some theory on computing prevalence of malaria
10.2 - Limitations of this model
10.3 - Relevance of this model
10.4 - Localizedness of malaria
10.5 - Occurrence
11 - Anti-malaria measures
11.1 - Measures to reduce daily survival chance of mossies
11.2 - Measures to reduce mosquito population.
11.3 - Measures to reduce contact between mossies and people
11.4 - Measures to reduce fraction of people that are infectious
12 - Economic
12.1 - Total cost of malaria
12.2 - Direct costs
12.3 - Indirect costs
12.4 - Total funding of anti-malaria effort
12.5 - Cost of medication
13 - Politic
14 - History
15 - Malaria in Ghana

 
 

1 - Overview of Malaria

This presents a short overview,
  informational for travelers to areas where malaria is endemic,
  and also usable as introduction for more detailed descriptions given furtheron.

 

1.1 - What it is

Malaria is a life-threatening disease that is common in most developing countries.
It can cause death within 48 hours of first symptoms.
Malaria affects 300-500 million people, and kills 1-2 million people per year.
Over 90% of all cases of life-threatening malaria occur in African children.
Obviously it causes much grief ; It also causes a lot of economic costs.

Malaria is caused by a protozoan (slightly larger than a bacterium)
  of genus 'Plasmodium'.
  (In rest of this text, 'Plasmodium' will be abbreviated as 'P.'.)
There are 4 species of plasmodia that infect humans,
  of which P.falciparum is most dangerous, being cause of nearly all deaths.
  P.falciparum occurs mainly in Africa.
Malaria is transmitted from one person to next by a small mosquito, of genus Anopheles.
  (In rest of this text, 'Anopheles' will be abbreviated to 'A.'.)
  Anopheles are active from dusk till dawn, and often bite when you are sleeping.
  There are several species of Anopheles, each with their own characteristic behaviours ;
  In Africa, dominant one is A.gambiae, which prefers to rest indoors.

There does not yet exist vaccination against malaria.
There is effective preventive medication.
Malaria is curable if diagnosed and treated promptly and correctly.
If not treated promptly enough, patient dies, even in a modern hospital.

To prevent malaria :
* take your anti-malarials regularly, as prescribed.
* minimize chance of getting infected, by protecting from mosquito bites,
  for which the usual measures are :
  screening doors and windows,
  sleeping under a bednet,
  spraying sleeping room with insecticides,
  wearing long pants and sleeves during evening, and
  applying mosquito-repellent to exposed skin when outdoors.
* if malaria has developed in your body :
  visit nearest medical facility as soon as possible for emergency treatment.
* if you go to a place from where a well-equipped hospital can not be reached within 24 hours
  (taking into account that you would not be in good shape for travelling),
  take emergency medicines with you.

In most cases, patient is too poor to afford any of these protective measures.
Nevertheless, malaria does not eradicate the indigenous population of endemic areas
  because they develop resistance to it after being exposed to it for many years.
  (more precisely: children develop resistance or die.)
 

1.2 - What it looks like

First stages of malaria can look a lot like a severe case of flu :
  cold shivers, fever, headache, vomiting, general ill feeling, muscle- or joint-aches.
  Not all of these symptoms need to occur.
Malaria can (sometimes) kill within 48 hours of first symptoms.
Additionally, anti-malaria medicines take circa 12 hours to reach full effect.
You should not count on hospitals being open at night, in a developing country.
Medical attention should be sought immediately when you have any symptoms that could be malaria.

Time from infection to first symptoms differs per species of parasite ;
  for P.falciparum it is 10-14 days, for P.malariae it is circa 30 days.

Population of areas where malaria is endemic develop a limited resistance to malaria
  (or die before they have developed such resistance),
  to extent that they usually don't die from it ;
They do experience malaria 'attacks' circa once per year, which make them very ill.
For them too, anti-malarial medicines are helpfull, in as far as they can afford them.
 

1.3 - Cause

Malaria is caused by a small unicellular parasite, a 'protozoan' called 'plasmodium',
  that multiplies in human body, feeding on red blood cells ;
  In severe malaria, victims hardly have any red blood cells left.
There are 4 subspecies of plasmodium that can cause malaria in humans :
  P.falciparum, P.vivax, P.ovale, and P.malariae.
Almost all of the estimated more than 1 million deaths per year due to malaria
  are attributable to P.falciparum.

Function of red blood cells in human body is (mainly)
  transport of oxygen from lungs to rest of body,
  so if red blood cells are destroyed, that is bad enough,
  but in severe malaria, caused by P.falciparum,
  they also stick to eachother and to walls of bloodvessels,
  leading to blocked bloodsupply in brain, heart, lungs, and kidney,
  which is often fatal.

Malaria is transmitted from one person to next by bites of a mosquito, of genus 'Anopheles' ;
  when mosquito sucks blood from an infected person, parasites come along with blood,
  and a specialized form of parasite can survive mosquito's stomach,
  and develop inside mosquito.
When infected mosquito is hungry again, it bites next human,
  and before it starts sucking blood, it injects some 'saliva' into human,
  which contains painkillers (so victim, who is usually sleeping, will not notice mosquito)
  and anti-coagulants (for easy sucking),
  and, in infected mosquitos, it also contains plasmodium parasites.
 

1.4 - Occurrence

Anopheles mosquitos breed on water, so they don't live in deserts,
  although some specialized anopheles species can survive long dry spells.

Anopheles mosquitos live only shortly, just a few weeks ;
Whether this is long enough for plasmodium parasite to
  develop inside mosquito into a form that can infect humans,
  strongly depends on temperature :
  below 20 oC no transmission of malaria is possible ;
  below 25 oC P.falciparum can not be transmitted, but some other plasmodia can.
Therefore malaria as an epidemic does not occur in colder areas,
  (including places at high altitude inside regions where malaria is endemic).

Malaria used to occur in southern Europe and in south of USA, but it has been eradicated there.
In Europe it was eradicated mainly by draining of swamps and other sites of stagnant water,
  thus destroying mosquitos' breeding grounds.
In southern USA, it's eradication was also to a large extent due to
  screening and spraying with DDT, and treatment of infected patients with quinine ;
  Mosquitos that can transmit malaria still exist there, but plasmodia have all been killed.
  Therefore USA continues to run risk of new epidemics from travellers that get malaria abroad.
Between 1955-1969 there was a large effort to rid entire world of malaria,
  which was successfull in areas where re-infection rate was moderate to low,
  but failed when mosquitos developed resistance to DDT,
  as effective insecticides became more expensive,
  and donor-countries were less willing to pay for them.
Since that time, much more has been discovered about malaria,
  resulting in improved methods for killing mosquitos and new medicines against plasmodium.

Currently malaria is endemic
  in Americas from middle-america to northern brazil,
  in Africa from tropic of cancer to tropic of capricorn,
  in Arabia in Iraq and on coasts of Arabic peninsula,
  in Asia from Aghanistan to PapuaNewGuinea plus some areas in China.
Severity of malaria in these areas differs a lot ;
  Intensity of malaria is very dependent on infection rate, and thus on mosquito population,
    and different mosquito species, adapted to different climates,
    have different activity levels, and different habits.
  Mosquito that most effectively transmits malaria is A.gambiae, which is common in africa ;
    In most other places, other, less effective, mosquitos prevail.
  Most deadly plasmodium species, P.falciparum, is main cause of disease in Africa ;
    on other continents, less deadly P.vivax is main cause.
  In africa, there are two places where malaria is especially common, namely Ghana and Sudan,
    and in Sudan it is 3 times worse than in Ghana.
Places where malaria occurs, and intensity of risk there, also vary a lot inside countries ;
  Along coast of Ghana, roughly between ivory coast and Accra,
    climate is not so suitable for transmission,
    while climate of rest of country is suitable for that.
  In sudan, there are large swamp areas in south, which form ideal breeding grounds.
Mosquitos are also much more found in rural areas than in cities,
  because in cities their risk of getting killed is higher,
  and there is less food for them
  (mosquitos get their energy from sugars from plants,
   and only females mosquitos bite,
   to suck blood to gain amino-acids for their eggs to develop).
In all areas mentioned above as relatively safe,
  they still occur often enough that it is imperative for travellers to protect themselves.
 

1.5 - Who is at risk ?

Population of endemic areas generally has a limited form of immunity against malaria,
  so they would have a malaria attack about once a year, but would not die from it ;
  For them, too, protection would be beneficial, but most of them can not afford it.
Travelers to endemic areas do not have any immunity, so they must protect themselves.
People that emigrated from an endemic area, lose their immunity after circa half a year.
Women from malaria-endemic areas that have their first or second pregnancy
  run as much risk as people without immunity,
  because there is a specialized form of P.falciparum that infects placenta,
  and immunity to that form develops only after getting infected.
Infection during pregnancy
 increases risk of low birthweight and premature delivery,
 and there is sometimes transmission of malaria from mother to child.
Young children in endemic areas, from a few months to 5 years old,
  have not developed immunity yet ;
  Protecting them is beneficial, because
  their chance to survive and become immune depends on rate at which they are infected.
 

1.6 - Protective measure

Most important protective measures are :
* Wear clothing that covers skin as much as possible, from dusk till dawn,
* Sleep under an insecticide-treated bednet,
* Remove stagnant water from around house (even small amounts, like in a cup filled by rain),
* Put screens on doors and windows,
* Spray walls and roof of rooms with insecticide, or burn a mosquito coil or citronella candle,
* Apply insect-repellent to all exposed parts of skin when outdoors,
* Take preventive medication regularly, as prescribed by your tropical healthcare specialist.
* Whenever you have symptoms that could be malaria,
    visit a sufficiently equipped medical facility immediately ;
  If this is not guaranteed to be possible within 36 hours,
    make sure to carry emergency medicine for treatment
    (which is much stronger than preventive medicine).
* Do not bring limburger cheese with you, as that kind of smell attracts mosquitos.
* Wash your socks.

It is sometimes claimed that garlic or other herbal medication can be used against malaria,
  and it is true that some of these have some anti-malarial effect,
  but they are not effective enough to shield you from infection.
Exceptions to this are bark of cinchona tree and leaves of Artemisia annua plant,
  but these also contain substances that are not beneficial to you.
You can get medicines that contain extracts of plants mentioned above,
  which contain effective compounds in known quantities,
  so can be accurately dosed, to minimize unpleasant side-effects.

Be aware that taking preventive medication does not mean that you can not get malaria,
  and does not mean that you do not need to take other protective measures.
Effectiveness of preventive medication is usually in the 90 % - 99 % range,
  and if for example it is 95 %, then this means that
  the medicines take care of 19 out of 20 infectious bites that you get.
  In the most endemic areas,
  the infectious biting rate can be as high as 1.6 per person per night,
  so, on average, using the medicines, you would be infected after 12 nights.
Protecting yourself from getting bitten thus remains necessary.
Even the best protection only reduces the chance that you get malaria,
  which means that you might be unlucky,
  so you must always have access to emergency treatment on short notice.

Medicines bought in developing countries are sometimes fake,
  containing no effective ingredients.
This occurs only in a minority of cases,
  but you should not let your life depend on it, if you don't need to.
Also be sure to check the expiry date of the medicines ;
  if the box does not mention any expiry date, then the medicines are certainly fake.

Be strict about your countermeasures.
Malaria can kill you.
 
 

2 - Mosquitos

Mosquitos are flying insects,
  that usually breed in stagnant water (eg swamps),
  bite humans or animals to feed on their blood,
  and in doing that can transmit diseases.

There are islands in pacific ocean that do not have any mosquitos,
  so it looks like there is nothing against eradicating all mosquitos from whole world
  (except that it would not be worth it's huge cost).
 

2.1 - Mosquito species

Malaria is mainly transmitted by mosquitos,
  and, conversely, mosquitos are mainly important because they transmit diseases.

There are about 3500 species of mosquitos, grouped into 41 genera.
Malaria is transmitted only by mosquitos of genus 'anopheles'.

Of this genus, there are 460 species described
  (meaning that more species could still be discovered).
Not all of these are 'vectors' of malaria
  ('vector' means that they are capable of transmitting a disease).
Currently only 68 species of anopheles are known vectors of human malaria, because
  some anopheles do not feed on humans,
  some are not susceptible to human malaria parasites,
  some have a life-span too short to allow the parasite to mature inside it.
 

2.2 - Anopheles

Anopheles mosquitos are 8 -13 mm long (looked smaller in a picture i saw),
  with a body circa 1 millimeter thick,
  and mostly whitish-translucent
  (when they have sucked blood, they are red).

Like all mosquitos, adult anophelines have slender bodies
  with 3 sections: head, thorax and abdomen.
Head contains
  two eyes,
  one proboscis (snout) : elongate, forward-projecting, used for feeding,
  two many-segmented antennae, for smelling ;
    these antennae are important for detecting host odors
    as well as odors of breeding sites where females lay eggs.
    ('Malaria' is derived from 'mala aria' which means 'bad air').
  two sensory palps.
Thorax has usual internal organs,
  and serves as attachment for three pairs of legs and one pair of wings.
Abdomen is for food digestion and egg development ;
  it expands considerably during a blood meal, and shrinks during egg-laying.

Anopheles mosquitos can be distinguished from other mosquitos
  by the palps, which are as long as the proboscis, and
  by the presence of discrete blocks of black and white scales on the wings.
Adult Anopheles can also be identified by their typical resting position :
  males and females rest with their abdomens sticking up in the air
  rather than parallel to the surface on which they are resting.

Anopheles species differ in
  * whether they prefer blood from humans or from animals
  * whether they prefer to live near human settlements (anthropophilic) or not
  * whether they prefer to bite indoors or outdoors
  * whether they prefer to rest inside house after having bitten, or prefer resting outside
  * how long they live
  * what climate they are best adapted to
  * their feeding and mating patterns
  * their sensitivity to insecticides

Table (very incomplete) :
SpeciesLocationAnthropophilicBiteRestBitetimeRemarks
A.gambiaeAfricayesindoorindoorlatenightprefers biting ankles and feet (related to feet smell?)
A.arabiensisAfricanooutdoor??seems to like rivers.
A.funestusAfrica?outdoor??can survive dry spells.
A.QuadrimaculatusSouthUSA????
A.freeborniSouthUSA????
???Mexico????
A.albimanusCentral+SouthAmerica?outdoor??
???Papua New-Guinea????

Anopheles species in asia are zoophilic
  ie they primarily prey on some species of animal, cows being well known,
  and humans are second choice.
Anopheles species in africa primarily prey on humans.

When a disease is spread by an animal that is itself not cause of that disease,
  that animal is referred to as 'vector' of that disease.
The best vectors
  are abundant and long-lived,
  prefer to feed on humans, and
  usually prefer to live in close proximity to human habitation.
Anopheles gambiae has all these characteristics and is, consequently, the best vector.
This is an important factor of high malaria prevalence in Africa.

Mosquitos do not specialize in type of plasmodium they transmit.
Mosquitos generally don't seem to become ill from plasmodia in their bodies
  as plasmodia can develop inside mosquito, but can not repeatedly multiply there.
They are adversely affected by plasmodium, however,
  because an infectious mosquito usually needs multiple bites to get a full blood meal,
  while a non-infectious one can ingest a full meal with one bite ;
This might be caused by human immune-system detecting injected plasmodia,
  and human body reacting to it.

'Species' are usually understood to be
  groups of similar animals that can reproduce among themselves,
  and if two individuals can reproduce together, then they are from same species.
For A.gambiae this is not quite so.
Literature has it that it forms a 'species-complex',
  of which A.arabiensis and A.funestus are also part.
What exactly this means in practice, i don't know.
 

2.3 - Mosquito lifecycle

Like all mosquitos, anopheles have four stages of life : egg, larva, pupa, and adult.
 

2.3.1 - Adult

Adult anopheles are flying insects.
They are crepuscular (active at dawn or dusk) or nocturnal (active at night).

FOOD

Anopheles feed on nectar,
  from flowers, extra-floral nectaries, leave-edges (of cassava plant for example),
  and other sources of sugar (eg maize pollen, honeydew produced by mealybug),
  from which they derive their energy,
  but females also need blood, as source of proteins for development of eggs ;
As human blood is unusual in composition by having very few of one type of amino-acid,
  a blood-meal can not be completely converted to offspring of mosquito,
  and fraction of blood that can not be used for synthesis is available as source of energy.
Females can do completely without sugar (although they feed on nectar if given chance),
  provided that they can eat blood at least every 3 days,
  but males, being physically incapable of biting animals, absolutely need a sugar-food.

MALES

Males live for circa 1 week (circa half as long as a female), and die,
  and consequently mosquito populations consist of twice as many females as males.
Males spend their whole life on feeding from sugar-food sources and on swarming.

MATING

In most Anopheles species, mating is usually done at dusk ;
  males form swarms then, into which a female flies to get fertilized.
These swarms often occur at places where a female can lay eggs or feed on sugar.
These swarms occur mainly at dusk, and last for 1-2 hours ;
  at dawn there is similar (but much less pronounced) swarming behaviour.
This might be caused by need for some light,
  for female to find swarm, or when inside swarm, to interact with a male.

One female gets fertilized by multiple males, and stores their sperm in her body ;
  it is used later, after she has fed on blood, and eggs are being developed.
This way survival of small number of mosquitos still represents a relatively large genepool,
  and female does not have to do a mating flight with weight of eggs in her body.

It is likely that females are attracted to swarms of males,
  and, when in a swarm, by individual males,
  which might be by some smelly substance males secrete
(It was found that when males can not feed on sugar,
  their chances of successfull mating are much smaller,
  unless they are in a very small cage (where male would be hard to miss)).

It is not impossible that males convert part of sugars they eat,
  and transfer this to female when they mate.

BITING

After female is fertilized (typically at dusk), she starts seeking a human to bite.
For A.gambiae it has been found that peak biting time is
  from a few hours after swarming time, to end of night
  (but biting is not unusual from right after fertilization to early morning).
This would increase chance that victim is asleep, and thus chance for mosquito to survive biting.
So other species likely behave similarly.
During time between getting fertilized and peak biting time,
  they probably sit down somewhere.
Those species that like to be indoors, can settle down on a wall in a house,
  waiting untill late at night before they bite ;
Female is guided to victims by scents in air,
  for which she needs to discern direction scent comes from,
  which is probably why antennae are placed as far apart as possible.
A house that has little human smell would give a smaller chance of getting bitten.
A house that is upwind from a mating/sugarfeeding location
  would give a larger chance of getting bitten.

When female finds a victim, and it looks safe and acceptable enough, she bites it.

First thing a mosquito does when it bites, is inject some saliva into victim ;
  this 'saliva' contains pain-killers, so victim won't notice being bitten,
  and anti-coagulants, for easy sucking,
  and, if mosquito is infected, also contains malaria parasites.

An uninterrupted blood-meal usually takes 2-3 minutes.
Quantity of blood ingested at a single feed can be up to 25 mm3 ;
  this amount exceeds normal body weight and size of mosquito.

RESTING

After having sucked blood,
  they find a place to rest, to digest food and let eggs develop ;
This process depends on temperature : it usually takes 2-3 days in tropical conditions.
Some species prefer to rest inside house, while others prefer outdoors.
During that time, place previously taken by blood (being digested)
  is becoming used by eggs (that are developing) ;
  total size of eggs is however smaller than that of blood ingested
  (to extent that a female that failed to find a place to lay eggs
   can bite a second time, and develop a second batch of eggs, before laying them ;
   second batch is circa half size of a normal batch in that case).

EGG LAYING

When eggs are ripe, mossie starts seeking for stagnant water, to use as a breeding place,
  for which she prefers clean water over polluted water as found in gutters.
It is likely that she flies downwind, to find same breeding area she herself emerged from,
  which would be near local swarm and sugar-feeding locations.

After mossie has laid eggs,
  she goes looking for males for mating or sugar for eating,
  whichever she encounters first.
Females are known to be attracted to smells like sweet flowers
  and at this stage in their life are often attracted more to sweet smells than to host-smells
  (which are smells that guide them to a human victim).
 

2.3.2 - Gonadotrophic Cycle

Female anopheles repeat this mating/biting/resting/egglaying cycle for rest of their lives.

This cycle is called 'gonadotrophic cycle'.
It's duration varies with temperature and per species.
In A.gambiae, cycle takes 48 hours when average day-night temperature is 23 oC .
In malaria models, gonadotrophic cycle is measured in degree-days,
  and i did not find a definition of that in what i read.
In A.gambiae living at a temperature near 25 oC,
  speed of it's metabolism is roughly proportional to ambient temperature minus 14 oC.
So if i define 'degree-days' like that, then A.gambiae needs 18 degree-days for egg-maturation.
  (and thus if temperature is 20 oC they would need 3 days for it).
Female anopheles feed on blood every 2 - 3 days,
  starting 2 - 3 days after they emerge from pupa
  (in which time they feed on blood 2 or 3 times, to fully mature).

Adult female mosquitos live for upto 4 weeks on average in a laboratory,
  1-2 weeks on average in nature.
They can withstand temperatures up to 40 oC ; 42 oC kills them fast.

Models of mosquito population size often assume a constant chance of surviving to next day,
  which is often in order of magnitude of 75 % .
Their chances of survival are said to be mainly determined by
  temperature, humidity, rainfall, and getting killed when feeding on blood.
 

2.3.3 - Egg

Egglaying is called 'oviposition' in Latin.
Adult female mosquitos lay 50-200 eggs per oviposition ; 100 is a typical value.
Eggs are laid on surface of water, as individual eggs (not as a group),
  where they float, because they have floaters on either side
  (which is unique ; other insect's eggs have only one floater).
Eggs, when fully developed, are circa 0.6 mm long and 0.2 mm in diameter ;
  they are dark brown to black when they are near hatching.
Eggs are not resistant to drying.
Eggs hatch within 2-3 days,
  although hatching may take up to 2-3 weeks in "colder climates".
Out of these eggs, larvae emerge.
 

2.3.4 - Larvae

Larvae are oxygen-breathing filter-feeders.
They live on surface of water,
  feeding on algae, bacteria, and other micro-organisms that live in surface-layer.
They are motile,
  swimming
  either by jerky movements of entire body, moving with an S-shaped motion,
  or through propulsion with the mouth brushes.
They dive underwater when disturbed, but need to surface frequently to breathe.

Larvae have
  a well-developed head, with mouth brushes (primarily used for feeding, but also for propulsion),
  a large thorax, and
  a segmented abdomen, with spiracles on 8th abdominal segment, through which they breathe.
They have no legs.
In contrast to other mosquitos, Anopheles larvae lack a respiratory siphon
  and for this reason position themselves so that their body is parallel to surface of water.
  Could this be why they need stagnant water ?
  Could this be why they need two floaters, to not drown as soon as they emerge from egg ?

Larvae have a natural enemy in 'mosquito fish' (Gambusia affinis),
  but this only applies to those that live in larger bodies of water that have that fish.

Larvae develop through 4 stages (called 'instars') ;
  At the end of each instar, larvae molt, shedding their exoskeleton, or skin,
  to allow for further growth.
After this sequnece of instars, they metamorphose into pupae.

Amount of food available to larvae is important,
  as it determines energy-reserves of mosquito they will develop into,
  which determines it's reproductive success,
  and it's survival chances immediately after birth.
 

2.3.5 - Pupa

Anopheles pupa does not have separate head and thorax,
  but it has a combination, called cephalothorax,
  which floats on top.
Abdomen has a curved shape and floats underneath cephalothorax.
Thus pupa is comma shaped when viewed from side.

Pupae are oxygen-breathing, and must come to surface frequently to breathe.
They breathe through a pair of respiratory trumpets on the cephalothorax.
After a few days as a pupa,
  dorsal surface of cephalothorax splits, and young adult mosquito emerges.
 

2.3.6 - From Egg to Adult

Time from laying egg to mosquito emerging from pupa depends on species and ambient temperature.
It is usually 10-14 days in tropical conditions, but some mosquitos do it in 5 days.

When water in which eggs were laid dries up before fly emerges from pupa, they die ;
  nor eggs nor larvae nor pupa can stand drought
In some species of anopheles, adult can survive dry spells, by sleeping through it ;
  this is called 'aestivation' ;
I read about one example of this, which concerned A.arabiensis
  living in roof of a cow-shed, from where it emerged periodically to feed on blood.
Rainfall is also dangerous for eggs (and larvae and pupae),
  as they might get washed away to a place that would dry up.
 

2.3.7 - Adult

Adult mosquitos start mating circa 2- 3 days after having emerged from pupa.
Females start seeking a human to bite after being fertilized.
First batch of eggs may require 2 to 3 bloodmeals to mature,
  because fly itself still has to mature.
After first egg-laying, they start mating/blood-sucking/egg-laying cycle,
  in which they mate once and suck blood once and lay eggs once per cycle,
  as described above.

Adults have natural enemies in spiders.
When they fly, they can get caught in a web.
This may be one factor that makes males live shorter than females, as males fly every day.
 

2.4 - Mosquito behaviour


 

2.4.1 - Activity Time

Most adult Anopheles are crepuscular or nocturnal in their activities.
Thus, blood-feeding and oviposition (laying eggs) normally occur
  in the evening, at night or in the early morning, before sunrise.

Anopheles mosquitos prefer to bite when it is dark,
  probably mainly because they would have better chance of surviving blood-sucking time,
  but maybe also because they have infra-red sight,
  which would be more usefull for finding exposed skin in absence of places heated by sunlight.
 

2.4.2 - Attraction Factors

Anopheles are attracted by human temperature, CO2, odour, and others (research is ongoing).
Mosquitos mainly find their way around by smell ;
  they are attracted by smells emitted by a bacterium (brevibacterium epidermis)
  that normally exists on human skin, especially skin of foot
    (and especially when it has not been washed),
  which has been proven to be similar to smell of limburger cheese.
Chemicals that constitute that smell include
  short-chain fatty acids and
  methane-thiol, responsible for the "cheesy odour".

Mosquitos can be trapped by 'light-traps' (which is usefull for research) :
A lightbulb (switched on ofcourse)
  was placed near an insecticide-treated bednet under which a human was sleeping ;
Under lightbulb was an old tin can,
  and in top of can there was a piece of paper folded into shape of a cone,
  with narrow end of cone down, and having an opening just big enough to let a mosquito pass ;
Mosquitos would be attracted by lightbulb
  (probably by it's heat ; it also works if you use blacklight tubes ; these also become warm.
   attempts to kill mosquitos with ultraviolet radiation were not successfull.)
  they then bump into lightbulb, fall down into cone, and slide into can,
  from which it would be hard for them to escape.
It was found that putting crumbled-up inch-wide strips of paper in can
  reduced likeliness that they escaped, as they tended to hide among them ;
  (Other investigations found that they are hard to kill by insecticidal gases
    because they hide in narrow spaces where gas would mostly blow past.)
It was found that
  more mosquitos were collected when light-trap was placed at highest point of net
  than when it was placed at floor,
  suggesting that mosquitos go more by smell than by light.
It was also found that more mosquitos were caught if trap was near feat
  than when it was near head,
  suggesting that feet-smell is main attractive smell for mosquitos ;
  In other experiments, where mosquitos could freely choose where on a human they would land,
    it was found that more of them landed on ankles and feet than on other parts of body.
 

2.4.3 - Victim-Seeking

When mosquitos are looking for a human to bite, they follow smells,
  and if there were a crack in wall of a house, smell would emerge there,
  and mosquitos would enter house there.

It is likely that when looking for a human to prey on,
  they fly relatively low, probably mostly not higher than most houses,
  as that would give them best chance to detect smells of their preys ;
  There are indigenous people in southern Egypt that
  protect themselves by sleeping in towers that they build for that purpose.

Mosquitos do not usually fly long distances, apparently.
From a study undertaken in a valley in east-africa,
  where A.arabiensis had it's habitat near river in centre of valley,
  "occasionally" A.arabiensis were found in villages bordering valley,
  which were probably circa 7 km distant from river.
This still leaves open possibilities that they
  migrate over long distances over time, transferring from one habitat to next,
  or are blown by strong winds to far-away places.
One report says that 10 km is unusual, and 100 km has been observed but is extremely rare.

How fast moquitoes fly was not mentioned in what i read.
It does seem to be important, however, since, as mosquitos are guided by smell,
  they fly against wind,
  and must fly faster than wind, or they would never reach origin of smell.
Which would lead to conclusion that there is some maximum windspeed
  above which mosquitos do not like to fly.
As a rough guess, from mosquitos i saw in Netherlands, i think 10 km/hour is not unusual,
  which equals 2.7 m/s,
  and a wind with that speed is said to have a force of 2 to 3 beaufort,
  which are described as "light breeze" and "gentle breeze" respectively.
This would fit well with observations that mosquitos swarm for circa 1 hour,
  and are unusual to be found 10 km from their base.
One person claimed that mosquitos do not like air-currents caused by ceiling-fans.

Mosquitos do not like smoke.
It was found that women sitting unhealthily near inefficient indigenous cooking fires
  were less likely to get bitten by mosquitos.
 

2.5 - Mosquito population

There is some evidence that mosquitos occur in groups.
Especially for A.gambiae, which likes to stay near human settlements,
  it is probably true that most mosquitos stay near same settlement they were born near to.
For other anopheles species this may be less true.
Mosquitos usually fly less than 10 kilometers, 100 km being extremely unusual ;
  It may be that a strong wind could sweep mosquitos away over long distances.
It was found that in two villages (more than 10 miles apart)
  that each had malaria,
  strains of plasmodium in each village were genetically different,
  which means that mosquitos from one village did not reach other village.
So a mosquito population is not a continent-wide thing,
  but local to a village or town,
  especially for most effective vector A.gambiae.

I assume that female mosquitos, after being fertilized, and being guided by smell,
  fly against wind.
When they are ready to lay eggs,
  they could reach their old breeding ground by simply flying with wind,
  which would also be most efficient, as they are much heavier when filled with eggs.
As they are said to prefer clean water for breeding,
  it is probably not true that they are guided to their breeding grounds by smell,
  as is sometimes claimed.
 

2.5.1 - Population Size

When looking for info about malaria,
  i found no info about which factor constrains size of mosquito population,
  so what follows is just a guess.

A female anopheles lays circa 100 eggs,
  each egg has some chance to survive and develop into a mosquito,
  half of these mosquitos are female,
  these have some chance to become fertilized and feed on blood and live long enough to lay eggs.
If product of these factors is bigger than 1, then mosquito population size will increase.
If it is smaller, then population will decrease.
Increase or decrease is then exponentially,
  with a timeconstant of probably circa 15 days :
  12 days for eggs to develop,
  3 days for emerging mosquitos to die from exhausted energy reserves,
  or 3-4 days to feed, mate, bite and lay eggs.

Survival chances depend on
  environment, climate, and availability of food, blood and breeding sites.
Reproduction chances depend on survival and chance for a female to find a swarm,
  and for males in a swarm to have eaten enough sugar to successfully mate.

Environment and climate do not depend on mosquito population size,
  so if chances are good enough for one mosquito, they could multiply to infinite numbers.
In most parts of africa, climate is conducive for mosquitos all year round.

Chance to find a swarm would probably increase as swarms are larger, not decrease,
  so does not form an upper limit for population size.

As there are more mosquitos, they compete for victims to bite ;
  it was found in endemic areas that number of bites per person per night varies widely,
  so it is likely that this is not limiting factor,
  except possibly for those areas that showed highest biting rate.

Availability of breeding sites is a more uncertain factor.
Pupas are roughly as big as a mosquito,
  so 100,000 of them would fit on a square meter of water,
  but they also need food : micro-organismas from surface layer of water,
  and i have no idea how abundant these are.
It is said that mosquitos can breed in cups filled by rainwater,
  (in tropical conditions, where pollen could be blown into cup)
  so 20 cm2 would suffice for at least one pupa ;
  this provides a lower limit of 500 pupas per square meter.
This lower limit is probably nearer to truth than upper limit of 100,000 per m2 .

Studies in a highly endemic area in Kenya showed that
  rate of infectious bites was a bit less than one per person per night,
  and only a few percent of bites were infectious.
Total number of bites would thus be smaller than 50 per person per night,
  and thus for a village of 100 persons, there would be less than 5000 bites per night,
  which would be equivalent to a population of 12,500 adult female mosquitos.
Female mosquitos live circa 2 weeks on average,
  and it takes a similar amount of time for an egg to develop into a mosquito,
  so number of female eggs at any time roughly equals number of female mosquitos.
This mosquito population would need not more than 20 cm2 per mosquito for breeding,
  and half of eggs are female, so total number of eggs is circa 25000,
  so total needed size of breeding water is not more than 50 square meters
  (and might well be ten times less).
Mosquitos fly not more than a few miles per night,
  so these breeding grounds would need to occur in an area of a few square miles.
Thus if 1/100,000th of area was suitable as breeding ground, it would suffice,
  so i think in practice breeding grounds in rural settings can be considered to be abundant,
  and do not limit mosquito population size in most natural rural environments.

Thus i conclude that probably
  availability of sugar foods is limiting factor of population size in rural areas.
From this it follows that
  an average square meter of nature provides some sugar-food and breeding area,
  and number of mosquitos that that can support is limited by availability of sugar-food.

In a rural setting, like Accra, which has a surface area of a few square miles,
  and a human population of a few million people,
  there is a lot of roads and buildings and things like that,
  which do not support mosquito life,
  and there are also some nature-like patches that do support mosquito life.
There are additional non-nature-like breeding sites, like gutters.
There are probably hardly any non-nature-like sources of sugar available to mosquitos.
Thus in rural settings too,
  availability of sugar-food would be limiting factor of mosquito population size.

Dr. Gary found that (in semi-natural conditions with little risks and exertions)
  chance of successfull fertilization of a female
  in a swarm of sugar-deprived males was circa 1 % ,
  while in a swarm of sugar-fed males, it was 88 % .

The above line of reasoning does not prove that
  sugar-food-availability is the limiting factor on mosquito population size.
In a sufficiently sparsely inhabited part of countryside,
  the availability of humans for biting would be limiting factor.
How much would be considered "sufficiently sparse" i do not know ;
  it might be determined by
  comparing malaria prevalence among similar villages of different sizes in same area
  (about which i did not happen to find data).
 
 

2.5.2 - Consequences of Sugar-food as limiting factor

As number of mosquitos increases,
  they have to share food (eg nectar from flowers) with more mosquitos,
  so chance to get enough sugars to survive decreases,
  until product of all survival factors becomes 1 ;
  then mosquito population has reached it's final size.

If this conclusion is correct, then it would also seem likely that
  even for large cities like Accra,
  mosquitos would have their main feeding grounds outside city.
Consequently mosquito biting rate could be expected to be lower on side of city
  that is up-wind for usual direction of wind ;
  in case of Accra it would mean that you would get bitten less frequently on sea-side of city,
  because mosquitos, coming from down-wind,
  would find other victims to bite before reaching up-wind part of city.
From this it follows that average biting rate for a large city
  would be lower than average biting rate in rural areas.

Another consequence would be that
  malaria transmission would show increases in seasons when many flowers bloom
  (which would probably be in or after rainy season).

Sugar-food as limiting factor might also explain name 'malaria'.
It is well known that 'malaria' is derived from 'mala aria', which is italian for 'bad air'.
People infected with malaria do not give off any unusual smell.
Mosquitos prefer clean water over polluted water.
They do prefer stagnant water, which in swamps might be associated with smell of decay,
  so this is one possibility for origin of name.
Mosquitos are attracted by stinky-cheese-like smells
  given of by bacteria commonly found on human skin, especially on feet,
  but highest infection rates, and thus highest malaria risk,
    is not associated with concentrations of human population,
    where such smells would be most intense,
  but rather occur in rural settings.
If sugar-food is limiting factor of population size,
  then a fully developed mosquito population will use up all available sugar-food,
  and thus there will no longer be much sweet smell of flowers.
This is a possible reason for name 'malaria'.

Regulation of population size by available sugar-food is a saturated regulation.
Adults live much shorter in nature than in laboratory,
  because they produce so much offspring that their survival chances decrease.
Thus if survival chances decreased, due to some other cause,
  by same factor as average lifespan in lab divided by average lifespan due to competition,
  then mosquito population size would remain same.
This is important for estimating effects of anti-mosquito measures,
  as it means that these measures must reduce survival chances by circa 4/1.5 = 2.7
  before they would make any difference at all.
  
 

2.5.3 - Age distribution of Mosquitos

If there are 1 million mosquitos in an area (as limited by availability of sugar-food),
  it could mean that
  females live for 2 weeks on average,
  during which time they lay circa 450 eggs,
  and chance for an egg to develop into a mosquito is 1/225 .
It could also mean that
  females live for 1 week on average,
  during which time they lay circa 200 eggs,
  and chance for an egg to develop into a mosquito is 1/100 .

As will be mentioned in chapter about plasmodium,
  plasmodia need nearly two weeks to develop inside mosquito, before they can infect humans.
Consequently, in former case malaria would be transmitted,
  while in latter case nearly none of mosquitos live long enough to become infectious,
  so malaria would be much less of a burden, and much easier to combat.

If total amount of mosquitos is limited by availability of sugar-foods,
  and assuming this is distributed on a first-come first-serve basis,
  young and old mosquitos would have equal chances to it.
If that is correct, then
  increasing chance for eggs to develop into mosquitos
  would decrease average lifetime of mosquitos.
Conversely, if adult mosquito had a lower chance of survival,
  then there would be less competition for sugar-food,
  so that newborn mosquitos would have an increased chance to live to egg-laying age,
  which would increase overall chance for an egg to make it to that age.

It is generally assumed that this is not only factor that influences average mosquito lifetime.
Literature has it that their chances of survival depend on
  temperature, humidity, rainfall, and their ability to successfully obtain a blood meal.
It is also well-known that mosquitos have an irritating tendency to
  splat themselves on windscreen of your car,
  so their lifetime also depends on environment.
In areas where malaria is combatted, another factor is mosquito resistance to insecticides.
Temperature and rainfall also influence amount of flowers from which nectar can be gotten,
  and rainfall would influence distance to which pollen would be spread by wind,
  so these factors are interrelated.

Chance for a mosquito to survive to next day
  is usually considered to be independent of mosquito age.
And is usually found (actually inferred from other results)
  to be circa 70 - 85 % survival chance per day.
In one study in Tanzania it was found (indirectly) that
  estimates of daily survivorship of A.gambiae ranged from 0.77 to 0.84 .
However, if an area has daily survivorship 60 % or lower,
  then mosquitos don't live long enough to let plasmodium develop inside them,
  and consequently malaria is not transmitted,
  and consequently such areas are not studied,
  so it is entirely possible that values lower than 60 % do occur in nature.
 
 

3 - Mosquito-bite prevention


 

3.1 - Removing potential breeding grounds from vicinity

Most effective vectors prefer staying near human settlements.
Studies in africa showed that
  Infection level could vary significantly between villages,
    but not between houses in a village.
  Amount to which this is true depends on mosquito species,
    and was more true for more effective vectors.
That means that mosquitos are relatively local,
  and reducing local mosquito population can be effective.

For species that prefer to bite and rest outdoors,
  attacking them through their breeding grounds is most effective way.
For other species it is also effective,
  but screening, netting and spraying are easier and cheaper.

A method usable by individuals is :
  remove any stagnant water from vicinity, as far as possible, especially clean water.
  eg: remove empty cans, drain puddles.

This is not equally feasible for all locations ;
  fact that someone lives in rainforest increases malaria risk by factor 6 .
 

3.2 - Removing potential feeding grounds

This would require removing flowers from environment.
That would not be nice.
I have seen in Netherlands that
  after artificial fertilizers and weed-killers were introduced in 1960s,
  meadows that previously were filled with flowers, now only had grass,
So in developing countries this might be an unintended effect of modernizing agriculture.
Idea that this would reduce mosquito population is not substantiated by any research.
What has been found is that common food crops like cassava and rice provide sugar food
  via pollen, leaf-edges, and damaged leaves,
  so increased harvest might cause increased mosquito populations.

Related to this is idea that wearing sweet perfumes or aftershaves attract mosquitos.
 

3.3 - Curing domestic animals (in asia)

There are species of plasmodium that cause malaria in humans,
  and that are transported by mosquitos that prefer to blood-feed on animals,
  but bite humans too, if they happen to be available for that.
These occur mostly in Asia.
It has been found to be helpfull to sponge domestic animals (mainly cows)
  with insecticide every 4 - 6 weeks,
  thus ridding them of several diseases,
  which makes animals happier and stronger and more productive,
  and thus makes population willing to spend time and money on sponging.
It also reduces rate of malaria 'infection' (further unspecified,
  probably means average number of infective mosquito bites per person per night)
  by 90 % .
Thus it is more effective than indoor-spraying ;
  it is also 5 times cheaper.

In africa, there is a species of plasmodium that can infect monkeys and apes too,
  but it's effect on occurrence of malaria in humans is negligible.
 

3.4 - Staying indoors at night, and screening doors and windows

Keeping doors and windows closed would prevent mosquitos from entering your rooms ;
  even in not very well-constructed buildings it would help.
But weather is often too hot to make that desirable.
So thing to do is use screens on doors and windows,
  so that breeze can blow through them, yet mosquitos can not enter.

Main mosquito biting time is between dusk and dawn,
  and staying indoors during this time reduces chance to get bitten.

This measure is usually combined with spraying of rooms with insecticides.
In that case, it reduces incidence of malaria by a factor 5. (in a tropical country)

In year 1900, malaria was endemic in Italy,
  and some scientists studied effect of screening there.
Families in tightly screened homes, who stayed indoors from sunset to sunrise,
  had a chance of 5 % of getting ill from malaria.
Over same period, for their neighbours who did not use screening, chance was 86 % .
 

3.5 - Spraying insecticides in rooms

In a house that is screened,
  if any mosquitos managed to enter it, and are sitting somewhere waiting for a human victim,
  spraying with insecticide has a good chance of killing them.
In this case, since all other ways for mosquitos have been blocked,
  spraying adds an important amount of protection.

Usual practice is to spray walls and roof of rooms with pyrethroid insecticides.
Alternatives are burning mosquito-coils in room, or burning citronella candles.

I have no exact data about effectiveness of spraying.

Pyrethroid insecticides have very low mammalian toxicity
  but are highly toxic to insects
  and have a rapid knock-down effect, even at very low doses.
Pyrethroids have a high residual effect :
  they do not rapidly break down unless washed or exposed to sunlight.

There is also related practice of community-wide spraying with long-lasting insecticides ;
  It has recently been found that DDT can safely be used for this.
Difference with room-spraying is that
  community-wide spraying is more applicable to rooms that are not screened,
  and spraying includes all structures, including animal living quarters, barns, etc.
This kills, or at least reduces lifetime of mosquitos resting on wall or roof.
Mosquitos usually rest after they have bitten,
  which means that spraying non-screened rooms does not prevent infection.
If many people in a community do it,
  it reduces mosquito lifetime,
  and thus strongly reduces fraction of mosquitos that are infectious.
 

3.6 - Using insectice-treated bednets

When you are indoors in a screened room, risk is already lower,
  but main biting time is when you sleep,
  and you can easily reduce risk even further during that time by using a bednet.
This becomes especially important if you sleep in a room that is not closed off to mosquitos.

Usage of nets is usually combined with spraying room with insecticide,
  if only because you would not be in bed all evening.

These are nets of cotton or a synthetic yarn (polyester being most common),
  with a mesh so small that mosquito can not go through it,
  and soaked in a solution of insecticide (and dried after that).

A net of itself offers some protection,
  but when your foot is in contact with net,
  mosquito could land on net, and suck blood through maze,
  therefore these nets should always be treated with insecticide.
Inseticides recommended for use on nets include :
  'permethrin' : preferred, as it repels and kills ; US brandname "Permanone".
  'deltamethrin'.
All insecticides approved (in US) for use on bednets are pyrethroids
  (same type as used for spraying rooms).
Mosquito net should be tucked in very well, so that no tiny mosquito can get in.
They can be bought in most developing countries, if necessary,
  i heard they cost a few dollars at Makola market in Accra, Ghana.

Over time, insecticides used on net become inactive.
This happens faster if net is exposed to sunlight, or is washed.
Usual insecticides for bednets last for about half a year.
Thus they must be retreated with insecticide at intervals of 6-12 months.
Retreatment is done by simply dipping nets in a mixture of water and insecticide
  and allowing them to dry in a shady place.
Kits for retreating nets are available in most countries.
Need for frequent retreatments is a barrier to implementation of ITNs in endemic countries,
  since cost of insecticide and lack of understanding of its importance
  result in very low retreatment rates in most African countries.

There are now more modern insecticides available
  that last as long as net itself : 3- 5 years.
CDC is currently testing several of these products in Atlanta and Kenya.

Many nets need a point on ceiling to hang them from,
  which could be a problem when staying in cheap lodgings.
There are now also nets that have a frame like a tent.

A similar measure, used by some populations of endemic areas that don't have nets,
  is to apply insecticide to clothes worn while sleeping.
This has been reported to work surprisingly well ; reason for this is not yet known.
 

3.7 - Sleeping in high places

It was noted before that some people in southern Egypt use this as a defense measure.
Sleeping in high-rise buildings might have similar effect.
I found no data about altitude that mosquitos prefer to fly at.
 

3.8 - Effect of airconditioning

Yet another topic about which i have no data.
Insects are cold-blooded, and thus less active where it is cold,
  and their body chemistry will thus also be slower when it is cold,
  so that digesting a meal would take longer in a cold place,
  which would probably mean it would entail a bigger risk,
  so i would expect that mosquitos do not like cold places.
But who knows.

It might also perhaps be possible that humans emit less smells in colder environments.
 

3.9 - Effect of moving air

One source said that
  "mosquitos do not like moving air because they can not fly very well in it."
Whether this is true, i don't know.
 

3.10 - Cover skin with clothing in evening

Wear long-sleeved shirts, long pants, hats, socks.
Heat may prevent you from doing that at midday ;
  only doing it between dusk and dawn is still usefull,
  as this is mosquito's most active time.

A group of french paratroopers, after a mission in africa,
  were interviewed and medically examined ;
Their immunoglobulin levels revealed that
  35 % of them had been bitten by infected flies.
Questions of interview that most strongly correlated with infection
  were: "did you always sleep under a bednet ?"
  and "did you always wear long sleeves at night ?".
 

3.11 - Wash yourself with soap

Mosquitos are attracted by body smells and CO2.
There is not much you can do about exhaling CO2,
  but body-smells can be reduced with good personal hygiene.
Washing your socks is also a good idea.
 

3.12 - Insect repellents for use on skin

When outdoors :
Apply insect repellents to exposed skin (and clothing ?).
This will prevent mosquito bites for one to five hours,
  depending on
  person, mosquito species, number of mosquitos, and
  type and concentration of active ingredient of repellent.
Repellents are available as aerosol sprays, pump sprays, creamsticks, lotions, or foams.

N,N-Diethyl-m-toluamide (Deet)
  is very effective and widely used as a repellent
  but it should not be used indiscriminately
  as severe allergies can develop.
Repellents with high concentrations of Deet, 50% or more, should not be used on children.
Repellents with 5-10% Deet are equally effective as ones containing 90% or more,
  but they apparently do not last as long.
For how long these work, i don't know.

Avon Skin-So-Soft has been widely used as a mosquito "repellent" for a number of years
  (without being labeled as such).
Avon Products, Inc. has recently obtained EPA approval
  and is now marketing some of its Skin-So-Soft products for use as a mosquito repellent.

A new, not as widely tested, repellent is 'Picaridin' ; It lasts 1-4 hours.

Use repellent only outdoors.
Wash off thoroughly with water and soap after coming in.
Only apply repellents where skin is intact.
Avoid eyes and mouth when rubbing repellent on face. Do not spray on face. (poisonous!)
Do not apply to children's hands.
Do not let children younger than 10 years apply repellent themselves.
Do not use on children younger than 2 months.
 
 

4 - Red blood cells

Plasmodium parasite that causes malaria
  mainly lives and multiplies in human red blood cells (RBCs).
 

4.1 - Function and occurrence

Adult humans contain circa 5 liters of blood.
This is usually pumped around by heart,
  which normally beats circa 70 times per minute,
  and has a stroke volume of circa 70 milliliter,
  yielding circa 5 liters per minute.

Red blood cells, aka 'erythrocytes', make up about 1/4 of volume of human blood.
Their main function is to transport oxygen from lungs to body tissues.
Beside RBCs, blood also consists of
  white blood cells ('leukocytes'), that are part of immune system,
  some other (much less frequently occurring) cells of immune system,
  blood platelets, that cause blood to clot for healing wounds, and
  blood plasma, a clear yellowish fluid that contains many proteins and other substances.
Oxygen is used in tissues to generate energy by oxidizing sugars,
  yielding carbon-dioxide as waste product,
  which is transported to lungs by dissolving into blood plasma.

There is another mechanism by which oxygen is transported from lungs to tissues,
  namely by direct solution of oxygen into blood plasma ;
This is much less effective than via RBCs :
Under normal conditions (relative inactivity)
  plasma carries only 1.5 % of oxygen (and RBCs carry rest),
  and circa 25% of RBCs oxygen is actually used,
  so oxygen in plasma can deliver 6 % of normal need under normal circumstances.

Under abnormal circumstances,
  heartrate can be nearly thrice as high (which can be dangerous for untrained persons),
  and stroke volume of heart can be nearly 2 times as high,
  resulting in upto 30 liters per minute being pumped when doing extreme exercise ;
Body can, for a while, make do with only plasma for transporting oxygen,
  but increased heartrate and resulting high blood pressure needed for this
  are a severe stress, that trained athletes may be able to withstand for some time.
 

4.2 - Structure

RBCs are cells, so they mainly consist of
  a cell-wall (aka 'membrane'),
  fluid and dissolved substances inside that membrane,
  and structural proteins that give it it's shape.
RBCs are, when they are young, 'eukaryotic',
  which means that they have a nucleus that contains it's genetic information (DNA),
  and that nucleus is enveloped in a separate cell-wall inside cell-fluid.
When an RBC has matured, which is when it is released into bloodstream,
  it discards this nucleus (presumably to protect it from viruses).
  This is unusual, as RBCs of all other mammals do have nuclei
    (except for one species of salamander).
As it has no DNA, it can not synthesize proteins, and can thus not repair itself,
  and can not reproduce itself either.
As it can not synthesize anything, it also does not need energy,
  so organelles that normal cells have for this are also discarded upon maturation.
Thus RBCs are not really living cells.

RBCs are nearly completely filled with hemoglobin.
Hemoglobin consists of 4 identical subunits,
  each of which consists of an iron atom embedded in a porphyrin ring embedded in a protein.
Such iron in a porphyrin ring is called a 'heme' group.
Iron atom, due to way it is bound, can loosely bind, and easily release, oxygen.

RBCs passively flow with blood,
  and passively absorb oxygen where partial gas pressure of oxygen is relatively high,
  and passively release oxygen where partial pressure is low.

RBCs are shaped like a tire of a wheel that is completely wrapped up ;
  thus they are roughly disc-shaped, with a dimple in middle (on both sides).
They are 6 - 8 micrometer (um) in diameter, with a thickness of circa 1.5 um,
  and have a volume of circa 55 um3 .

25% of volume of blood is made up of RBCs,
  so there are circa 4.5 million RBCs per cubic millimeter of blood,
  so total amount of RBCs in an adult human is circa 2.2E13 .
  (people living at high altitudes have a bit more).

RBCs are normally flexible,
  and need to be flexible for being able to pass through narrowest of blood vessels,
  which are less than 8 um in diameteer ;
In such small bloodvessels (called 'capillaries') bloodcells flow in single file.
 

4.3 - Creation

Erythrocytes are continuously being produced in red bone marrow of large bones,
  (In embryo, liver is main site of red blood cell production)
  at which time they still have a nucleus, so they can divide and grow,
  and they also still have mitochondria, with which they synthesize hemoglobin.

Production can be stimulated by hormone erythropoietin (EPO)
  (well known from it's use as doping in sports).

Erythrocytes develop to maturity in about 7 days, and last a total of circa 120 days.
 

4.4 - Destruction

Main sites of destruction of RBCs are liver and spleen.
Liver specializes in absorbing nutrients from blood ;
  blood streams from bloodvessels surrounding stomach and gut to bloodvessels of liver.
Spleen specializes (among others) in defending against infection.

Spleen's blood vessels branch into many very narrow bloodvessels,
  that act as a physical sieve to RBCs.
As an RBC gets older, it can get infected or otherwise damaged,
  which makes it swell up to a sphere-like shape.
Then when it passes through spleen, it is filtered out.
Spleen also contains very many 'macrophage' cells (latin for 'big eater'),
  that eat damaged RBCs by completely enveloping it, and releasing destructive enzymes.

Most components of old RBCs are reused,
  but not heme groups, which are excreted by liver as bilirubin in bile.
If liver is damaged or overworked, as is frequently seen in malaria,
  level of bilirubin in blood increases,
  giving human skin a yellowish color that is typical for people who have malaria.
 

4.5 - Cell wall

Cell walls of RBCs, like walls of all animal cells,
  are composed of fatty acids, which have an electrically polarized acid 'head',
  and a relatively long non-polar carbohydrate 'body',
  so that head attracts water molecules, while body repels water molecules,
  resulting in a structure that has heads on both sides
    and bodys sandwiched in between them.

In this cell wall, there are proteins, which are much larger molecules,
  that often extend through on both sides of wall ;
Many of these proteins are chemically interconnected,
  forming a network inside cell, that is called endoplasmic reticulum,
  which gives strength and shape to cell.
There are also other proteins that have various other functions.
Among these other proteins are glyco-proteins,
  which consist of a series of sugars connected to a protein ;
Sugar part attracts water molecules, thus forming a slimy layer,
  which protects cell from being damaged.
 

4.6 - Immune system

These glycoproteins are important for immune response,
  because T-cells of immune system recognize glyco-proteins,
  and decide on that basis whether a cell should be destroyed or not.
If they decide on destruction,
  they remember which glycoprotein that cell carries,
  which results in creation of specialized macrophages
  that will eat any cell exhibiting those glycoproteins.
 

4.7 - Duffy factor

One of these glyco-proteins, which exist on cellwall of RBCs and on all other human cells,
  is called 'Duffy blood factor'.
These are important for plasmodium, as it abuses them to gain entry into RBC.
Nearly all west-africans have a genetic modification that causes them to
  express Duffy blood factor on all cells, except on red blood cells.
This gives west-africans near-perfect immunity from P.vivax,
  for which this is apparently only way it can enter an RBC ;
P.falciparum has found another entry, unfortunately.
 

4.8 - Blood proteins

Human blood is unusual, compared to that of nearly all other species,
  in that it lacks one amino-acid, 'iso-leucine'.
All proteins are built amino-acids,
  and there are circa 25 different amino-acids occuring in nature,
  and generally, for synthesizing a protein, all of these amino-acids are needed.
Thus lack of this amino-acid makes human blood much less suitable for parasites,
  because they are much less able to clone themselves from it's components.
 
 

5 - Plasmodium

Infectious parasites that cause malaria are protozoans of genus 'plasmodium'.
 

5.1 - Classification

Protozoans are small unicellular organisms that
  have circa 6 times as much genetic information as a bacterium,
  which makes them more versatile.
Protozoans are eukaryotes,
  which means that they have nucleus and organelles inside internal cell walls.

Among protozoans are many subgroups, called 'phyla',
  and these phyla are again divided into yet smaller groups called 'genera'.
Plasmodium is a genus of phylum 'apicomplexa'.

Apicomplexa are characterized by having
  a ring-shaped skeleton-like structure at one end
    (probably for providing support for proteins that bind to cell being attacked),
  and sacs full of chemicals with tubes leading through ring to cell-wall.
All species in phylum apicomplexa are parasites.

Plasmodia, when bumping into a red blood cell,
  quickly move ring-part of their body toward RBC,
  take a firm hold of it,
  and empty contents of their sacks of chemicals outside cell-wall,
  so that these contents, due to pressure, end up inside cell being attacked.
 

5.2 - Infective species

Plasmodium genus consists of more than 125 species,
  that produce malaria in mammals, birds, and reptiles.

Five of these affect humans:
  * plasmodium falciparum
     is main cause of malaria in africa.
     nearly all deaths due to malaria are caused by P.falciparum.
  * plasmodium vivax
     is main cause of malaria outside of africa.
     can remain dormant upto 2 years after infection (but this is rare).
  * plasmodium ovale
     not very common.
     can remain dormant upto 4 years after infection (but this is rare).
  * plasmodium malariae
     occurs in southeast asia.
  * plasmodium knowlesi
     occurs in south-east Asia.
     is mainly a disease of monkeys, but can infect humans.
     it's reproductive cycle takes only 24 hours.

'Dormant' here means that they remain inactive in liver for up to a couple of years,
  and thus can cause malaria long after a traveller has returned from an infected area.

Species that cause malaria in animals are not dangerous to humans,
  with exception of a subspecies of plasmodium ovale
  that can infect monkeys and apes.
This subspecies is much less dangerous to humans than other plasmodia.
According to CDC's website,
  extent to which monkeys and apes constitute a reservoir for malaria is also negligible.

P.malariae is unusual in that it's reproductive cycle takes 72 hours
  (as opposed to 48 hours for most other plasmodia).
Malaria caused by P.malariae is relatively benign (often chronic but seldom lethal).

P.knowlesi is unusual in that it's reproductive cycle only takes 24 hours
Red blood cells infected with P.knowlesi look a lot like those infected with P.malariae,
  so it is advised that in areas where P.knowlesi occurs (southeast asia),
  patients who are diagnosed as being infected with P.malariae
  should be treated as if they are infected with P.knowlesi,
  which means they get the same intensive medication as is used for P.falciparum.

Rest of this text deals nearly exclusively with P.falciparum and P.vivax,
  because these cause nearly whole disease burden,
  and nearly all research data is about these too.
 

5.3 - Live stages of plasmodium

There are 3 main live-stages of plasmodium :
 

5.3.1 - Sporozoites

These are present in mosquito saliva,
  from which they enter human bloodstream when mosquito bites,
  are then carried through body by blood,
  and when they reach liver, they enter hepatocyte cells there ('hepato cyte' = 'liver cell').
In liver cells they multiply a-sexually, and their offspring are merozoites.

In some species, sporozoites can remain dormant in livercells.
These are called 'hypnozoites', and are usually not considered to be a separate life-stage.
 

5.3.2 - Merozoites

These are form that infects red blood cells.
They are result of
  either a-sexual reproduction of sporozoites in liver cells
  or a-sexual reproduction of merozoites in red blood cells .
When a merozoite has entered an RBC, it multiplies there,
  and when multiplication is complete, it destroys remains of RBC,
  and then young merozoites are in bloodstream ;
Each of them bumps into an RBC, clings to it like an octopus,
  and injects chemicals into it, that cause RBC to go soft,
  after which merozoite pulls RBC around itself.
Merozoite is then inside RBC, yet it is not in RBC's endoplasma (cell fluid),
  rather it is inside a vacuole (hollow space) inside RBC,
  and wall of vacuole was previously part of outside-wall of RBC.
This protects plasmodium from immune system.
Once inside RBC, plasmodium eats amino-acids that form protein-part of hemoglobin.
It uses these amino-acids to duplicate itself, repeatedly,
  after which RBC bursts and young merozoites find themselves in bloodstream.
This cycle repeats itself until human host dies
  (or receives medicinal treatment, or has a very effective immune system).
  
Some of merozoites do not duplicate themselves ;
Instead, they discard half their genetic material, and develop into gametocytes.
  (thus there is never more than one gametocyte in an invaded RBC).
It is not yet known what determines whether a merozoite will become a gametocyte.
 

5.3.3 - Gametocytes

These are either male or female.
They can not infect RBCs.
Their purpose is to remain in bloodstream until some mosquito sucks them up.
Once inside mosquito's gut, RBC they live in is discarded,
  and they develop flagella, so they can move around ;
When they encounter a gamete of opposite sex, they merge,
  small gametes ('males') being absorbed into large gametes ('females') ;
  result of merger is called 'ookinete' (latin for 'dynamic egg').
These move to skin of mosquito's gut, and invade a cell there,
  thus forming an 'oocyst' (latin for 'egg container').
Inside this oocyst, they multiply sexually, and their offspring are sporozoites.
 

5.3.4 - Sporozoites

When sporozoites are ripe, they break out of mosquito-gut-skin-cell
  on side of mosquito's bloodstream.
They are then carried through mosquito's body by bloodstream,
  which they leave when they reach mosquito's salivary glands.
They stay there, waiting to be injected into next human victim.
 

5.4 - Strains

A Plasmodium inside human body multiplies there, but does not reproduce sexually,
  so it's offspring all have same genetic composistion.
Thus, unlike in humans,
  a different genetic composition is not same as a different individual.
A genetic composition of plasmodium is called a plasmodium 'strain'.
 

5.5 - Origin of mating partner ; Can plasmodia reproduce sexually inside humans ?

An interesting question is : "Where does that opposite sex gamete come from ?".
For sexual reproduction to have desired effect of increasing genetic variation,
  there should be, inside mosquito gut,
  an opposite-sex gamete from another plasmodium strain.
But if that other strain had to come from another bite into another infected human,
  it would mean that gamete from first bite would have to wait inside mosquito gut
  until mosquito had digested all it's food and became hungry again.
However, from what i read, it seems that,
  while gametes are optimized for surviving mosquito's gut,
  their chances of survival are not really all that good.
And also, in many areas mosquitos barely live long enough to allow oocysts time to develop,
  so waiting for a few extra days would be a bad idea in itself.
So most likely answer seems to be that
  infected humans are generally infected with multiple plasmodia strains,
  so that these can combine sexually in mosquito, forming many new strains,
  and an infection by a mosquito would then also transmit multiple strains to victim.

I have (after some more reading) found that,
  in an area of low infection-rate in french guyana,
  plasmodium population was said to be 'clonal'
  from which it follows that male and female gametocytes of same strain can mate,
  yielding a near-identical copy of their parents.

In areas of high transmission,
  humans are usually infected by more than one strain simultaneously ;
A study in Papua New Guinea reported 6.6 different strains on average per infectious bite.
An other study in PapuaNG found people infected with
  all 4 species of plasmodia that are infectious to humans :
  P.falciparum, P.vivax, P.ovale, and P.malariae.

So it seems that mosquitos are only needed for transmitting disease,
  and would not be necessary for sexual reproduction,
  as it would suffice for gametocytes to mate inside infected human.
For now, all that can be said about it is that
  sexual reproduction of plasmodia inside humans has never been observed.
Perhaps once an RBC is infected (ie merozoite has pulled it around itself),
  it can not subsequently be also infected by an other merozoite.
 

5.6 - Times and numbers (of mosquito life stages)


 

5.6.1 - Sporozoites

Saliva injected by mosquito when it bites can contain plasmodium sporozoites.
Salivary glands of infected mosquitos can contain 10,000 to 200,000 sporozoites,
  but only few sporozoites are actually found in each drop of saliva injected.
Typically, an infective bite contains between 5-200 sporozoites.

They are injected into blood, traveling from place of infection to liver.
They probably infect liver as soon as they reach it with blood flow,
  which would be in less than 1 minute.
Each sporozoite penetrates cell-walls of liver cells, settling down in one them.

Infecting liver cells is done in an unusual fashion (unusual for sporozoites) :
Normal sporozoites trick a cell to encapsulate it in a vacuole,
  plasmodium sporozoites, however,
  traverses multiple cells rapidly, like a bullet, rupturing cell-walls,
  before settling down in one of them.
One it setteles down in is thus in a deeper layer,
  so that substance on outside of it's cell-wall is same as it has on inside,
  and therefore cell-wall is easily repaired.

Once settled, nucleus of sporozoite divides many times
  and cytoplasmic mass grows substantially (probably feeding on contents of liver cell).
Number of nuclear divisions, and duration of this 'schizogony'
  varies between plasmodium species ;
  in P. falciparum it reaches a diameter of 60 µm
  and contains 20,000 - 40,000 nuclei .
After nuclear divisions are completed,
  cytoplasm segments are formed, resulting in individual merozoites.

This process takes a few days ; how many days depends on species :
  P.falciparum is fastest with a minimum of 5.5 days.

When merozoites are thus completely formed, they break out of liver cell, into bloodstream.
One falciparum sporozoite thus produces circa 30.000 merozoites.
One infectious bite (with 100 sporozoites) would thus produce 3 million merozoites.
 

5.6.2 - Merozoites

From a (not very detailed) picture, i estimate diameter of merozoites to be circa 1 um .

In bloodstream, they attach to an RBC relatively fast,
  but it takes them about 30 minutes before they are completely enveloped by it.
Human body has circa 2E13 red blood cells,
  so at this stage, infection does not yet cause clinical symptoms.

Once inside red blood cells, merozoites eat protein-part of haemoglobin,
  break them down into amino-acids, and use these to multiply themselves.
Where they derive their energy from during that time was not mentioned in anything i read.
  maybe from proteins ?
Inside RBCs they multiply by a factor 8 - 20, depending on species,
  P.falciparum multiplies 16- to 18-fold.
  P.vivax multiplies 6- to 8-fold.
This repeated division process takes a few days :
  2 days for most Plasmodium species,
  3 days for P.malariae.
After division is complete, young merozoites are ready for entering blood.
At this time a group of merozoites is
  inside a sac inside vacuole wall formed from host RBC's cellwall.
They release enzymes that rupture host RBC.
Remaining contents and fragments of cell wall of host RBC are thus dumped in blood,
  which is not healthy, as large fragments of cell wall may clog narrow blood vessels,
  and heme groups (iron in porphyrin, remnants of hemoglobin)
  are allegedly "poisonous" to human body.
Fragments of cell-walls are a major cause of fever,
  because inside of cell-wall is not meant to be exposed to blood,
  and human immune-system treats it as wall of some unknown kind of infectious cell.
After a short while, probably when remnants of destroyed RBC have become dilute enough,
  protective sac is also discarded, and individual merozoites are in blood,
  attaching to first RBC they bump into.
This makes me wonder how they avoid all attaching to same RBC.

As merozoites are circa 1/8th of diameter of RBCs,
  this means that at this stage, RBCs infected by P.falciparum can not be flat,
  but must be globe-shaped to contain this many plasmodia.
With P.vivax, which multiplies by a smaller factor,
  loss of shape would not be as necessary.
From a picture (of P.falciparum) :
  before an RBC ruptures, it seems completely filled with plasmodia.

Merozoites produced in RBCs are same as merozoites produced in liver cells,
  so these young merozoites invade new RBCs, and multiply there,
  and this cycle continues, leading to an exponentially growing number of infected RBCs.
About 30 minutes later, each surviving merozoite has infected another red blood cell,
  where it again multiplies, etcetera. ad infinitum.
Time between infecting a red blood cell and breaking out of it is
  48 hours for vivax and ovale,
  72 hours for malariae, and
  fluctuates around 48 hours for falciparum.
 

5.6.3 - Gametocytes

Some of merozoites' offspring formed in red blood cells, are gametocytes.
A Gametocyte is circa as big as an RBC, and banana-shaped.
I know very little about them.
How many of them there are, and what their chances are to be ingested by a mosquito
  are discussed in paragraphs furtheron.

Some merozoites, after infecting an RBC, develop into gametocytes.
Some gametocytes are taken up by mosquitos feeding on blood of human host.
 

5.6.4 - Development inside Mosquito

When mosquito ingests blood from an infected human,
  it ingests infected RBCs, merozoites and gametocytes with it.
I presume merozoites or unripe gametocytes (in an infected RBC)
  find themselves in an environment that they can not handle, and die.
Gametocytes, however, are made for this environment, and survive it.

Gametocytes mate in mosquito gut.
Each male/female mating result bores through wall of gut,
  and become encapsulated in a cyst called 'oocyst'.
Inside that cyst, cell divides repeatedly
  (i don't know whether this is done by repeated division into independent cells,
   or by multiple division of nucleus followed by formation of cellwalls,
   like sporozoites do),
  ultimately forming circa 1000 sporozoites, which are then released from sporocyst.
This takes 5 - 7 days for plasmodium falciparum (depends on temperature ?).

Sporozoites then travel to salivary glands (via mosquito's blood stream ?).
How long they can remain alive there is not known,
  but is probably not very important,
  as new gametocytes would be taken up at every bloodmeal,
  so if they survived 3 days it would already be enough for continuous infectivity.

Time from ingestion of gametocytes to sporozoites present in saliva depends on temperature ;
  one source says 10 - 18 days,
  CDC's site says 9 - 21 days @ 25 oC, (for P.falciparum)
Models of transmission rate use 'degree-days'
  and assuming plasmodium's metabolims is speeded up by temperature
    just like anopheles's metabolism is,
  ie assuming 14 oC as temperature of no activity,
  development would take 100 - 232 degreedays.
Furthermore, it is reported that
  development of gametocytes into sporozoites needs a minimum temperature,
  which depends on plasmodium species :
  15 oC for P.vivax, and
  20 oC for P.falciparum.
This helps explain that falciparum, while being much more active and versatile,
  is not dominant plasmodium species in many areas.
 

5.6.5 - Maturation time inside mosquito Restrains Survivability of plasmodia

Gametocytes need days to develop into infectious sporozoites,
  and Anopheles do not live very long ;
As a result, only part of Anopheles are infectious,
  even if they already have oocysts in their stomach-wall.

For a numeric example, see section 'Epidemic'.
 

5.7 - Effect of plasmodium on mosquito

Apparently a mosquito does not get ill from plasmodia it carries.
This is probably because Plasmodia do not keep multiplying inside mosquito.

Having plasmodia in it's salivary glands causes blood-meals to be taken in multiple bites,
  presumably because human detects plasmodia being injected.
Mosquito does reduce number of plasmodia that enter with bite ;
  there are several 10,000 in salivary glands, but only circa 100 are injected with saliva.
Infected mosquitos' immune system responds to presence of plasmodia in mosquito blood
  by producing nitrogen-monoxide, which is poisonous to many micro-organisms.
None of investigations i read about found that
  presence of plasmodia significantly shortened mosquito lifetime.
 

5.8 - Response of human immune system to plasmodia

When a human is bitten, sporozoites are injected, and travel to liver, where they settle.

Time to mature in liver cells usually lies between 7 and 30 days, depending on species,
  shorter periods being more usual with P.falciparum,
  and longer ones with P.malariae.
Other reports say incubation period for falciparum is 5.5 or 6 days.
For vivax and ovale it is probably 10-14 days.

During this time, in an individual without immunity,
  immune-system is not aware that anything is wrong.
In immune people in endemic areas, detection of sporozoites may have led to some preparations,
  but i know practically nothing about this.

When merozoites break out of liver cells, and invade RBCs,
  and destroy them, and dump remnants in blood, their effect becomes noticed by immune-system.
As number of RBCs that burst increases, immune system starts reacting.

Number of plasmodium sporozoites per infectious bite is reported to be
  by one source : between 1 and 100 ,
  by another : between 5 and 200 .

If a human is infected by 1 falciparum sporozoite :
dayeventnumber of merozoites
0infection by 1 sporozoite0
6break out of liver cell 3.0E4
8has multiplied in RBCs 5.4E5
10has multiplied in RBCs 1.0E7
12has multiplied in RBCs 1.8E8
14has multiplied in RBCs 3.2E9
16has multiplied in RBCs 5.7E10
18has multiplied in RBCs 1.0E12
20has multiplied in RBCs 1.8E13

A human only has 2E13 RBCs, so by this time (s)he would be dead.

Some people do die from their first infection.
  If they were infected by 1 sporozoite , this would happen 20 days after getting infected.
  If they were infected by 10 sporozoites, this would happen 18 days after getting infected.
  If they were infected by 180 sporozoites, this would happen 16 days after getting infected.
In most cases, human immune system prevents this.
 

5.8.1 - Incubation Time

First reaction of immune system is fever.
Cells of immune system (free floating in blood)
  detect fragments of RBC cell-walls and heme-groups in blood,
  which they consider to be material foreign to human body,
  so they release chemicals (called cytokines) that produce fever.
Amount of fever produced depends on amount of cytokines released,
  which depends on amount of destructed RBCs ;
Fever starts having an effect when
  it produces a significant increase in temperature and heartbeat.
When this happens, it is apparent from outside of human, as a clinical symptom.

It is reported that time between infection and first clinical symptoms (called incubation time)
  is between 10 and 14 days for P.falciparum.
As shown above, this would depend on number of sporozoites in infectious bite.
There may however be more than one infectious bite
  in first night that human is exposed to mosquitos ;
In an area where malaria-transmission is extremely intense,
  it was reported that natives get up to 60 bites per night
  (usually only a fraction of these are infectious),
  so it is quite possible to get more than 180 sporozoites in one night.

Entire range of incubation times can be explained by number of sporozoites.
Thus maximum incubation time (14 days)
  would apply for infection with few sporozoites (between 1 and 15),
  which means that fever becomes apparent when there are circa 1E10 merozoites,
  ie 0.1 % of RBCs is infected, and 0.01 % of RBCs have recently burst.

It has been found in practice that generally at first fever
  fraction of infected RBCs is circa 1 % .
It could be that figures given above only apply to
  people that have absolutely no immunity against malaria.

If numbers given above are usable,
  then incubation time for other plasmodium species would be considerably longer,
  as their multiplication factor in RBCs is lower (typically 12 for P.vivax).
 

5.8.2 - A note about fever

Fever means that temperature set-point of body is raised.
This first causes a feeling of chillyness,
  as body registers that it's temperature is lower than setpoint.
In response to that, body heats up, until it's temperature reaches new setpoint.
As temperature rises, heart-rate rises with it,
  at a rate of 10 extra beats per minute for every degree centigrade rise in temperature.

Presumably intended effects of this are that
  increased heat makes life difficult for cells of human body
    (infecting organisms are not bound to human temperatures), and
  increased heartbeat makes blood flow through spleen more often,
    where there are a lot of immune-system cells.
Raised temperatures will hasten destruction of all red blood cells
  but old or diseased ones, who are less strong, would die first.

Amount of fever produced depends on amount of cytokines released,
  and so is proportional to amount of infected RBCs in blood.
I read that, with malaria, first noticeable fever occurs when
  circa 1 % of RBCs has been infected.
Malaria tends to produce repetitive fevers, every 2 or 3 days.
Thus it is practically certain that in falciparum malaria,
  fever after first noticable one will be at least 18 times as severe as first one.
Many deaths occur at time of second fever.

Fever is effective in killing infected RBCs,
  as is demonstrated by ability of young malaria-infected children to survive.
Young children between 2-months-old and 2-years-old do not have immunity against malaria,
  and falciparum can avoid most of body's other defenses,
  so fever is only mechanism that reduces number of infected RBCs.
This means that a malaria fever 'attack' kills at least 17/18th of all infected RBCs,
  thus limiting ultimate fraction of RBCs that is infected.
As number of infected RBCs gets lower,
  fever subsides, and a smaller fraction of infected RBCs get killed,
  so effect of fever is to limit infection, but not to eradicate it.
 

5.8.3 - Activation of Spleen

RBCs are normally destroyed in spleen (when they have become old),
  and spleen is organ that takes care of recycling their components.
I did not come across any data about this in my 2-week search of malaria data,
  but i assume that
  increased occurence of RBC cell-wall fragments in blood (flowing through spleen)
  increases spleen's activity, to clear these from blood.
Also, it may be that cytokines increase spleen activity,
  as fever is reaction to infection of blood,
  and spleen is important for clearing blood of infected RBCs.
More directly, when merozoites in RBC are nearly ripe,
  their combined volume is so large that it makes RBC swell up to a globe shape,
  which causes it to no longer be able to
    pass through physical filter constituded by spleen blood-vessels,
  so spleen starts destroying that RBC,
  which would obviously increase activity of spleen if it happened a lot.
As fever comes with increased heart rate, blood flow through spleen increases with it,
  which would make it catch more diseased RBCs.
It is known that in acute malaria, spleen is often enlarged,
  to a volume that is up to 4 times it's normal volume.
Spleen is located in lower portion of rib cage,
  and an enlarged spleen can easily be felt.
This causes an increased risk of rupture of spleen,
  so if malaria has been cured by medicines but spleen is still enlarged,
  additional bedrest is advisable.
One report had it that it took 4 days for spleen to return to a normal volume again.

In animals (eg dogs and horses) spleen acts as a reservoir of red blood cells,
  which are dumped into bloodstream at times of stress,
  yielding a higher oxygen transport capacity.
In humans this is much less pronounced.
 

5.8.4 - Role of Liver

Heme groups (iron in porphyrin rings) that form centre of hemoglobin
  are not recycled when an RBC is destroyed.
(Therefore humans need small amounts of iron in their diet).
Instead they are somehow collected by liver,
  which excretes them (as 'bilirubin') in bile into stomach.
Further than that, liver does not seem to do anything.
Liver can be severely affected by malaria, but it may be that
  this is just caused by sporozoite infection and clogging of blood vessels.
 

5.8.5 - Production of Antibodies

Cells of immune system that release cytokines when they encounter foreign cells
  also do something else :
  they remember (part of) chemical composition of infecting cell's cell wall.
Animal cells are all roughly built same way,
  but which exact proteins they have in their cell-walls differs per species and per body-tissue.
A common type of proteins of cell-wall are glyco-proteins ;
  These consist of a protein stem with sugar molecule(s) at end of it ;
Probable reason for having them is that sugar group relatively strongly attracts water,
  so a cell with a lot of glyco-proteins gets a slimy layer of weakly-bound water around it.
Which exact protein part and which exact sugar part are used for this
  does not make much of a difference, and varies per type of cell.
Immune-system cells, when encountering an other cell,
  check composition of it's glyco-proteins
  by matching it against shapes and electric charges of proteins on their own cell wall ;
If they match like normal human glyco-proteins, immune-sysem cell does nothing.
If they match some other pattern, they are recognized as foreign,
  upon which immune-cell releases cytokines, and remembers patterns it detected ;
It then no longer checks any further cells,
  but stays like this until it reaches an area where macrophages are produced
    (macrophages are big cells that can eat other cells by completely ingesting them),
  such as spleen.
There it causes production of a new generation of macrophages
  that only eat cells whose glyco-proteins match like those of detected foreign cell.

Result is that body can selectively attack these cells,
  so that this attack does not attack cells of body,
  and therefore this attack can be much more intense and effective.
Disadvantage is that it takes time to form new generation of macrophages ;
  3 days is apparently a typical time for that.

For most infections, usually caused by bacteria,
  this suffices to completely eradicate them from body,
  so that you would experience a bit of fever, and a few days later you would be better again.
Plasmodium, a protozoan that is 6 times more complex than a bacterium,
  has found a way around this immune mechanism,
  so that you would experience a bit of fever, and a few days later you could be dead.
This is reason that first symptoms of malaria look a lot like common flu.

When infection has been eradicated, these macrophage antibodies would no longer be needed.
Body keeps them around for a while (i don't know exactly how long)
  because it is more likely that next infection would be by same species of infecting cell
  than with a random other one.
As long as antibodies specific against this infector keep being usefull,
  they keep being produced.
A while after they are no longer active because there is nothing for them to do,
  they are no longer produced.
At that time, body does not completely forget about infectors they were targeted at,
  as it retains capability to start producing such macrophages rapidly,
  ie: it would take a lot less than 3 days (i don't know how long)
  to have production up to maximum level.
Over longer periods of time (can be many years),
  when this rapid-production capability has not been used,
  then body no longer uses resources for it, and forgets it.
Thus immunity against an infecting species is high after an infection,
  and gradually becomes less over time.
 

5.9 - Plasmodium's countermeasures against human immune system

Each of body's defenses mentioned above
  would cause RBC to be disassembled, which merozoites would not survive.
What Falciparum, does to avoid this has already largely been found out ;
  there is less knowledge about what other plasmodium species do against it.

Known avoidance mechansims are :
 

1) Enveloping itself (against anti-bodies) :

As long as a merozoite is enveloped by an RBC,
  merozoite cell-wall is not exposed to blood, so antibodies can not harm it.
When merozoites have eaten all of hemoglobin of RBC they have infected,
  they have no other choice than leaving it and entering bloodstream to find an other one ;
  during that time they are vulnerable.
This causes a factor (48hours/30minutes =) 96 reduction in effectiveness of immune response.
 

2) Synchronization (against fever) :

A merozoite that is attached to a healthy RBC, is relatively safe from fever,
  as that RBC has a good chance of surviving fever.
Likewise, a merozoite that has just enveloped itself in an RBC is relatively safe from fever,
  as it has not yet damaged that RBC very much, so that RBC is nearly as good as a healthy one.
Main fever triggers when merozoites leave an RBC, dumping toxic waste into bloodstream.
If merozoites left RBCs randomly, there would continually be a fever,
  causing many merozoites that were nearly ready to leave their used-up RBCs to die.
Instead, and maybe even caused by fever itself,
  all merozoites tend to leave their RBCs at same time,
  and thus infect next RBC at same time,
  so they all have same time between infecting and RBC and leaving it again.
There is ofcourse some spread-out in this time between individual infected RBCs ;
To which extent this manifests itself would depend on
  amount of stress that fever posed to merozoite population,
  as merozoites that are more out of sync are more affected by fever.
P.falciparum shows least synchronicity, as it has more avoidance mechanisms than other species,
  and rest of plasmodia show very clear 2-day or 3-day (for P.malariae)
  periods between fevers.
So at time merozoites emerge, and attach to next RBC, fever has not started yet,
  and by the time they emerge from these RBCs again, fever has subsided.
 

3) Synchronization with mosquitos (against all human defenses) :

Fact that these periods are whole numbers of days is not a coincidence.
It has been found that plasmodia has some (yet unknown) way of
  synchronizing itself with it's human host,
  such that emerging from RBCs occurs much more frequently at night than in daytime.
This activity was measured in a patient that was
  awake at night in a room with lights on, and sleeping in daytime in a darkened room,
  which revealed that plasmodia became active when that person experienced 'evening',
  ie when it was really mid-morning.
This is thought to serve purpose of
  maximizing chance for gametocytes to be sucked up by mosquitos,
  as mosquitos are mainly active when it is dark.
 

4) Stickyness (against destruction in spleen) :

This is a mechanism that only P.falciparum has.
It's merozoites inject proteins into host RBC, which then become part of host RBC's cell wall.
These proteins make RBC stick to other RBCs and to walls of blood vessels.
Then this RBC no longer flows with blood, so does not pass through spleen.

(It makes me wonder whether P.falciparum injects duffy-like proteins into RBC
  to subsequently use them to enter cell.)

These sticky RBCs can form clumps that block small blood vessels,
  which is main cause of death of falciparum infections,
  because result is that many small vessels of brain, lungs, kidney, and heart become blocked,
  leading to loss of function of these organs, which often causes death.
Infected RBCs in blocked blood vessels are relatively isolated from immune-system,
  but their neighbourhood doesn't receive oxygen anymore ;
  resulting chances of merozoites to survive i don't know.

Majority of infected RBCs, these that are not part of a clump that completely blocks bloodflow,
  are still exposed to cells of immune-system in blood flowing past them.
Due to these infected RBCs now having sticky substances on their outside,
  immune system can recognize that they are different.

Recent research in india found that stickiness only results if there is fever
They also identified surface-protein that causes it. (called PfEMP-1).
This may explain why malaria patients often deteriorate significantly at fever stage.
This discovery has also caused interest in
  use of anti-fever medicines against acute falciparum malaria.
 

5) Release of immuno-suppressants (against immune-system) :

Falciparum releases chemicals into blood that are
  same as human body uses to down-regulate activity of it's immune system.
This reduces acitvity of immune-system, but does not stop it.

I have no info about details of this, so i will mention some general features.
Usually, when body regulates some function,
  it does this by changing production levels of two hormones,
  one that inhibits that function, and one that activates that function.
  Resulting level of that function is then determined by ratio of these hormones.
Such regulations are usually adaptive, meaning that
  body monitors effect of regulation,
  and adjusts production of hormones until desired effect is reached.
Body's adaptive regulations are usually of proportional type,
  without integrating or differentiating component,
  and loop-gain is usually at least a few dozen,
  so that in final situation deviation from intended is a few percent at most.
All adaptive regulations have some slowness,
  caused by need to first measure and then adjust, both of which take time.

Thus release of immuno-suppressants by plasmodia
  would cause an initial reduction in immune-system activity,
  that would be detected by body,
  which would change it's own hormone-output to compensate for it.
That compensation would be effective,
  but would take some time to be established,
  during which time attack on plasmodium is less intense.
Advantage for plasmodium is apparently big enough to make releasing suppressant worthwhile.

I guess it also has another important consequence.
It was observed that a large part of mortality of falciparum malaria occurs
  at time of peak fever (ie most active immune-response).
  This is no doubt connected to fever causing stickyness.
However, this mortality occurs much less often in cases where a victim is infected with
  both P.falciparum and P.vivax (as found in Vanuatu), or
  both P.falciparum and P.malariae.
So it might be that mortality is partly caused by an overshoot in immune-system regulation :
  when body succeeds in ridding itself of falciparum,
  this causes a drastic reduction in release of immuno-suppressants by falciparum,
  which would cause a drastic increase in activity of immune-system
  beyond level that body's regulation deems optimal for acute infection.
If there is also a vivax infection, then vivax would continue to emit immuno-suppressants,
  and overshoot would not happen.
But this is just a guess.
 

6) Clonal variation (against immune-system macrophages) :

Sooner or later an infected RBC bumps into a cell of immune system known as 'T' cell ;
'T' cells recognise that RBC as diseased,
  and remember which glycoproteins they have on outside,
  and pass this on, to cause creation of macrophages that eat cells that have this glycoprotein.
It takes a while (a couple of days) for those macrophages to mature,
  and in meantime RBC whose glycoproteins were detected has already been used up,
  and merozoites have infected next RBC.

Result of a-sexual multiplication of a merozoite inside RBCs are young merozoites,
  but they are not quite clones of their parent (at least not in P.falciparum),
  because falciparum has a variable portion in it's genes,
  so that offspring has same genes, but which portion of it will be used is somewhat random.
This variable gene determines which glycoprotein will be put on outside of cell.
One study found that 2% of merozoites had different glycoproteins than their parent.
Importance of this is that
  when human immune system has made antibodies to glycoproteins of infecting plasmodium,
  which are therefore also effective against their cloned offspring,
  2% of young merozoites would survive
  (unless body would also have antibodies against that other glycoprotein ofcourse).
This explains why in endemic areas
  children are subjected to repe